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Hot Stove Contract Comparisons

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  • SPRO contract comparisons from the most recent contracts given out by your favorite baseball team for free agents, arbitration eligible and others. Find out what's going on in contract negotiations, what they've been paid, what they should have with the Stat Geek Baseball's SPRO Salary Projection system, and more.

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  • Free Agents

    Week of January 30

    Jason Hammel signs 2 year $16,000,000 with Royals, plus mutual option for 3rd year.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City gets bargain in Hammel. SPRO 2 year $21,028,000.

    Boone Logan signs 1 year $5,500,000 contract with Indians, including $7m option with $1m buyout.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland overpays for Logan. SPRO 1 year $3,047,000.

    Matt Belisle signs 1 year $2,050,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota gets bargain in Belisle. SPRO 1 year $4,118,000.

    J.P. Howell signs 1 year $3,000,000 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto pays market value for Howell. Bit on the high side of okay considering Howell's slow, but steady decline over the last three years. SPRO 1 year $2,591,000.

    Resigned with Team

    Week of January 30

    Jerry Blevins signs 1 year $6,000,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets overpays for Blevins. Decreasing use figures cause us concern. SPRO 1 year $2,636,000.

    Will Harris AVOIDS ARBITRATION and signs 2 year $5,000,000 with Astros, plus flexible $ option.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston gets bargain in Harris. SPRO 2 year $8,567,000.

    Fernando Salas signs 1 year $3,000,000 with Mets, plus $350,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets pay market value for Salas. SPRO 1 year $3,031,000.

    Cesar Hernandez AVOIDS ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,550,000 with Phillies.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia pays market value for Hernandez. SPRO 1 year $2,729,000.

    Logan Morrison signs 1 year $2,500,000 with Rays, plus $1m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay gets bargain in Morrison. SPRO 1 year $4,048,000.

    Kelvin Herrera AVOIDS ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,250,000 with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City gets bargain in Herrera. SPRO 1 year $7,830,000.

    Shelby Miller LOSES ARBITRATION HEARING and signs 1 year $4,700,000 with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona overpays for Miller. Club figures was even higher than we'd like to go. SPRO 1 year $3,951,000.

    Kevin Gausman AVOIDS ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,450,000 with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for Gausman. SPRO 1 year $3,031,000.

    Caleb Joseph LOSES ARBITRATION HEARING and signs 1 year $700,000 with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for Joseph. Right figure probably somewhere between the two with player wanting $1m. SPRO 1 year $862,000.

    Carlos Martinez AVOIDS ARBITRATION HEARING and signs 5 year $51,000,000 extension with Cardinals, plus option years.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis pays market value for Martinez. A year long for us, but the dollars are right on the money. We favored the player if he'd have gone to arbitration for $4.25m instead of club's $3.9m, thinking both were too low. SPRO 1 year $2,247,000.

    Fernando Abad LOSES ARBITRATION HEARING and signs 1 year $2,000,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston pays market value for Abad. Abad had wanted $2.7m. SPRO 1 year $2,247,000.

    Free Agents

    Week of January 23

    Brandon Moss signs 2 year $12,000,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City gets bargain in Moss. Yes, low BA and OBP always a concern with Moss, but lots of power that has AL potential. Bit of a downward spiral likely cost FA dollars, although last year better than 2015. SPRO 2 year $18,319,000.

    Scott Feldman signs 1 year $2,300,000 contract with Reds, plus $2.2m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Cincinnati gets bargain in Feldman. Although, we'll admit, the stat eye test says the Reds got it right. SPRO 1 year $5,570,000.

    Greg Holland signs 1 year $7,000,000 contract with Rockies, plus $7m incentives and vesting option.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado overpays for Holland. Would have to see a comeback year to go that high, but Holland used to be really good, so it might be worth the gamble. SPRO 1 year $4,775,000.

    Adam Rosales signs 1 year $1,250,000 contract with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland gets bargain in Rosales. SPRO 1 year $2,164,000.

    Luis Valbuena signs 2 year $15,000,000 contract with Angels, plus 3rd year option for $8.5m.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles of Anaheim pays market value for Valbuena. SPRO 2 year $14,044,000.

    Nick Hundley signs 1 year $2,000,000 contract with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco gets bargain in Hundley. Could be close if there are possible incentives, but still good deal. SPRO 1 year $3,315,000.

    Brett Anderson signs 1 year $3,500,000 contract with Cubs, plus $6.5m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs pay market value for Anderson. Right on the money for the guaranteed, but not sure it was necessary for that many incentives. SPRO 1 year $3,529,000.

    Shawn Tolleson signs 1 year $1,500,000 contract with Rays, plus $1.5m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay gets bargain in Tolleson. Yes, huge ERA last year, but good years before that. SPRO 1 year $2,137,000.

    Resigned with Team

    Week of January 23

    Stephen Drew to sign 1 year $3,500,000 with Nationals, plus $1.2m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington overpays for Drew. SPRO 1 year $2,437,000.

    Drew Pomeranz to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,450,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston pays market value for Pomeranz. SPRO 1 year $4,887,000.

    Free Agents

    Week of January 16

    Kurt Suzuki signs 1 year $1,500,000 contract with Braves, plus $2.5m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta gets bargain in Suzuki. Yes, it's bargain season time. Good deal for Braves, even though Suzuki's value has diminished over the last three years. SPRO 1 year $5,886,000.

    Tyson Ross signs 1 year $6,000,000 contract with Rangers, plus $3m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Ross. SPRO 1 year $5,917,000.

    Neftali Feliz signs 1 year $5,350,000 contract with Brewers, plus $1.5m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee overpays for Feliz. Yes, he was okay last year in a setup role, but not this okay. SPRO 1 year $2,759,000.

    Trevor Cahill signs 1 year $1,750,000 contract with Padres, plus incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego gets bargain in Cahill. Depends on the incentives and reaching them, but good for club to be structured this way. SPRO 1 year $2,738,000.

    Michael Saunders signs 1 year $9,000,000 contract with Phillies, with team option for 2nd year.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia overpays for Saunders. SPRO 1 year $5,660,000.

    Resigned with Team

    Week of January 16

    Mark Trumbo to sign 3 year $37,500,000 with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for Trumbo. SPRO 3 year $35,525,000.

    Mike Fiers to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,450,000 with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston pays market value for Fiers. SPRO 1 year $3,252,000.

    Jose Bautista to sign 1 year $18,000,000 contract with Blue Jays, including $900,000 per year incentives, and team option for 2018 at $17m plus $500,000 buyout. Vesting option for 2019 at $20m.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto gets bargain in Bautista. It's slightly on the low end for a one year deal and we'd have been okay with a guarantee for more years instead of options. SPRO 1 year $20,815,000.

    Brandon Guyer to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 2 year $5,000,000 with Indians, plus $3m team option for 3rd.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland gets bargain in Guyer. SPRO 2 year $6,791,000.

    Wil Myers to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 6 year $83,000,000 with Padres plus 7th year team option for $20m with $1m buyout.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego overpays for Myers. Way too much in terms of years and $ for a talented player who's only proved it with one very good year. SPRO 3 years $16,542,000.

    Resigned with Team

    Week of January 9

    Austine Romine to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $805,000 with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees pay market value for Romine. Too close to quibble. SPRO 1 year $551,000.

    Sam Dyson to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,520,000 with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Dyson. SPRO 1 year $3,644,000.

    Didi Gregorious to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,100,000 with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees pays market value for Gregorious. SPRO 1 year $4,730,000.

    Kevin Kiermeier to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,975,000 with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Kiermeier. SPRO 1 year $2,865,000.

    Alex Wilson to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,175,000 with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit gets bargain in Wilson. SPRO 1 year $2,132,000.

    Kyle Gibson to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,900,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota pays market value for Gibson. SPRO 1 year $3,169,000.

    Jake Marisnick to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,100,000 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston pays market value for Marisnick. SPRO 1 year $1,341,000.

    Tim Beckham to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $885,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Beckham. SPRO 1 year $658,000.

    Jackie Bradley, Jr. to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,600,000 contract with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston gets bargain in Bradley, Jr. SPRO 1 year $4,438,000.

    Zach McAllister to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,825,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for McAllister. SPRO 1 year $1,623,000.

    Xavier Cedeno to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,300,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Cedeno. SPRO 1 year $1,296,000.

    Andrew Romine to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,300,000 contract with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit overpays for Romine. SPRO 1 year $927,000.

    Xander Bogarts to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,500,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston gets bargain in Bogarts. SPRO 1 year $6,292,000.

    Brock Holt to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,950,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston pays market value for Holt. SPRO 1 year $1,804,000.

    Joe Kelly to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,800,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston overpays for Kelly. SPRO 1 year $1,090,000.

    Sandy Leon to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,300,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston pays market value for Leon. SPRO 1 year $1,302,000.

    Robbie Ross to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,825,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston pays market value for Ross. SPRO 1 year $1,760,000.

    Tyler Thornburg to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,050,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston gets bargain in Thornburg. SPRO 1 year $2,880,000.

    Miguel Gonzalez to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,900,000 contract with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pay market value for Gonzalez. SPRO 1 year $5,125,000.

    Josh Putnam to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,175,000 contract with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox get bargain in Putnam. SPRO 1 year $1,513,000.

    >Ryan Pressly to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,175,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota pays market value for Pressly. SPRO 1 year $1,110,000.

    Danny Salazar to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,400,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for Salazar. SPRO 1 year $3,650,000.

    Bryan Shaw to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,600,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland overpays for Shaw. SPRO 1 year $3,573,000.

    Lonnie Chisenhall to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,300,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for Chisenhall. SPRO 1 year $4,423,000.

    George Springer to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,900,500 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston gets bargain in Springer. SPRO 1 year $6,503,000.

    Alex Cobb to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,200,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay overpays for Cobb. SPRO 1 year $3,692,000.

    Danny Farquhar to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $900,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Farquhar. SPRO 1 year $910,000.

    Brad Miller to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,575,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Miller. SPRO 1 year $3,559,000.

    Erasmo Ramirez to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,125,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay overpays for Ramirez. SPRO 1 year $2,563,000.

    Brad Boxberger to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,600,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Boxberger. SPRO 1 year $1,500,000.

    Jose Iglesias to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,100,000 with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit overpays for Iglesias. SPRO 1 year $2,938,000.

    Bruce Rondon to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $800,000 contract with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit pays market value for Rondon. SPRO 2 year $1,072,000.

    Tanner Scheppers to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $975,000 with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Scheppers. SPRO 1 year $818,000.

    Robinson Chirinos to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,950,000 with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Chirinos. SPRO 1 year $1,664,000.

    Brandon Kintzler to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,925,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota pays market value for Kintzler. SPRO 1 year $2,501,000.

    A.J. Griffin to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,000,000 with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas overpays for Griffin. SPRO 1 year $992,000.

    Aaron Loup to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,125,000 with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto pays market value for Loup. SPRO 1 year $950,000.

    Corey Dickerson to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,025,000 with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Dickerson. SPRO 1 year $3,253,000.

    Jake Diekman to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,550,000 with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Diekman. SPRO 1 year $2,239,000.

    Danny Valencia to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,550,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Valencia. SPRO 1 year $5,459,000.

    Jarrod Dyson to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,800,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Dyson. SPRO 1 year $2,366,000.

    Leonys Martin to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,850,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Martin. SPRO 1 year $4,218,000.

    Drew Smyly to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $6,850,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle overpays for Smyly. SPRO 1 year $4,935,000.

    Evan Scribner to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $907,500 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Scribner. SPRO 1 year $839,000.

    James Paxton to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,350,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle overpays for Paxton. SPRO 1 year $1,574,000.

    Nick Vincent to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,325,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Vincent. SPRO 1 year $1,017,000.

    Danny Duffy to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 5 year $65,000,000 with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City overpays for Duffy. Had a very good year in 2016, but we'd like to see more than one. SPRO 3 year $28,424,000.

    Yangervis Solarte to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 2 year $7,500,000 contract with Padres, plus two team options.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego pays market value for Solarte. SPRO 2 year $6,756,000.

    Martin Maldonado to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,725,000 with Angels.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Angels of Anaheim overpay for Maldonado. SPRO 1 year $1,296,000.

    Nick Castellanos to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,000,000 contract with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit pays market value for Castellanos. SPRO 1 year $3,560,000.

    Jeremy Jeffress to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,100,000 with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas gets bargain in Jeffress. SPRO 1 year $2,754,000.

    Jurickson Profar to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,005,000 with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas overpays for Profar. Probably worth the little extra though. SPRO 1 year $581,000.

    Stephen Vogt to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,965,000 with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland pays market value for Vogt. SPRO 1 year $3,500,000.

    Sonny Gray to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,575,000 contract with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland gets bargain in Gray. Down year after great. SPRO 1 year $4,805,000.

    Liam Hendriks to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,100,000 with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland gets bargain in Hendricks. SPRO 1 year $1,527,000.

    Adam Warren to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,290,000 with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees pay market value for Warren. SPRO 1 year $1,986,000.

    Tommy Layne to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,075,000 with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees pay market value for Layne. SPRO 1 year $892,000.

    Jonathan Schoop to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,475,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for Schoop. SPRO 1 year $3,299,000.

    Santiago Casilla signs 2 year $11,000,000 contract with A's, plus $1.5m per year incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland gets bargain in Casilla. Overall value consisistent, but bargain because some of dollars in incentives. SPRO 2 year $14,705,000.

    Trevor Plouffe signs 1 year $5,000,000 contract with A's, plus incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland gets bargain in Plouffe. SPRO 1 year $8,030,000.

    Alexi Amarista signs 1 year $1,250,000 contract with Rockies, plus $2.5m option for 2018.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado gets bargain in Amarista. Slight bargain, considering still below six years of MLB service time. SPRO 1 year $1,638,000.

    Colby Rasmus signs 1 year $5,000,000 contract with Rays, plus $2m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Rasmus. SPRO 1 year $6,209,000.

    Resigned with Team

    Week of January 9

    Matt Harvey to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,125,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets get bargain in Harvey. SPRO 1 year $6,837,000.

    Jacob DeGrom to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,050,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets get bargain in DeGrom. SPRO 1 year $6,002,000.

    Jared Hughes to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,825,000 with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Hughes. SPRO 1 year $3,671,000.

    Gerrit Cole to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,750,000 with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Cole. Down year after great same for last three. All clubs could be benefitting from that. SPRO 1 year $5,390,000.

    Chris Owings to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,300,000 with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona pays market value for Owings. SPRO 1 year $1,966,000.

    Anthony Rendon to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,800,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Rendon. SPRO 1 year $5,488,000.

    Tom Koehler to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,750,000 with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Koehler. SPRO 1 year $5,362,000.

    Adeiny Hechevarria to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,350,000 with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Hechevarria. SPRO 1 year $4,089,000.

    Derek Dietrich to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,700,000 with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Dietrich. SPRO 1 year $1,793,000.

    Marcell Ozuna to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,500,000 contract with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami gets bargain in Ozuna. SPRO 1 year $4,839,000.

    A.J. Ramos to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $6,550,000 with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami overpays for Ramos. SPRO 1 year $5,272,000.

    Juan Nicasio to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,650,000 with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh overpays for Nicasio. SPRO 1 year $1,986,000.

    Yasmani Grandal to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,500,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers get bargain in Grandal. SPRO 1 year $6,576,000.

    Luis Avilan to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,500,000 with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers overpay for Avilan. SPRO 1 year $941,000.

    Alex Wood to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,800,000 with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers pay market value for Wood. SPRO 1 year $2,744,000.

    Josh Field to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,050,000 with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers pay market value for Field. SPRO 1 year $909,000.

    Wily Peralta to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,275,000 with Brewers.

    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee pays market value for Peralta. SPRO 1 year $4,323,000.

    Carlos Torres to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,175,000 contract with Brewers.

    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee gets bargain in Torres. SPRO 1 year $2,616,000.

    George Kontos to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,750,000 with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco gets bargain in Kontos. SPRO 1 year $3,068,000.

    Randall Delgado to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,775,000 with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona pays market value for Delgado. SPRO 1 year $1,626,000.

    Patrick Corbin to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,950,000 with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona pays market value for Corbin. Slight overpay. SPRO 1 year $3,372,000.

    Chris Herrmann to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $937,500 contract with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona pays market value for Herrmann. SPRO 1 year $741,000.

    Eduardo Nunez to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,200,000 with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco pays market value for Nunez. SPRO 1 year $3,921,000.

    Will Smith to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,500,000 with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco pays market value for Smith. SPRO 1 year $2,170,000.

    Jeanmar Gomez to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,200,000 with Phillies.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia overpays for Gomez. Drop off at end of year might indicate he's not a closer. SPRO 1 year $2,841,000.

    Trevor Rosenthal to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $6,400,000 contract with Cards.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis overpays for Rosenthal. SPRO 1 year $4,710,000.

    Brandon Maurer to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,900,000 with Padres.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego overpays for Maurer. SPRO 1 year $1,271,000.

    Billy Hamilton to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,625,000 contract with Reds.

    SPRO Analysis - Cincinnati pays market value for Hamilton. SPRO 1 year $2,635,000.

    Tony Cingrani to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,825,000 with Reds.

    SPRO Analysis - Cincinnati overpays for Cingrani. SPRO 1 year $868,000.

    Derek Norris to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,200,000 with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Norris. SPRO 1 year $4,821,000.

    Tanner Roark to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,315,000 with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington gets bargain in Roark. Big bargain also pointed out by other projections. SPRO 1 year $7,209,000.

    Hecton Rondon to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,8000,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs pay market value for Rondon. SPRO 1 year $5,810,000.

    Justin Grimm to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,825,000 with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago pays market value for Grimm. SPRO 1 year $1,713,000.

    Jordy Mercer to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,325,000 with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburg pays market value for Mercer. SPRO 1 year $4,963,000.

    Travis D'Arnaud to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,875,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets pay market value for d'Arnaud. SPRO 1 year $1,703,000.

    Jean Segura to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $6,200,000 with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Segura. SPRO 1 year $6,499,000.

    Drew Hutchison to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,300,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh pays market value for Hutchison. SPRO 1 year $2,229,000.

    Jared Hughes to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,825,000 with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Hughes. SPRO 1 year $3,671,000.

    Danny Espinosa to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,425,000 with Angels.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim pay market value for Espinosa. SPRO 1 year $5,333,000.

    Rick Flaherty to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,800,000 with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore overpays for Flaherty. SPRO 1 year $1,173,000.

    T.J. McFarland to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $685,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for McFarland. SPRO 1 year $826,000.

    Dan Otero to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,050,000 with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland gets bargain in Otero. Great year for a setup man not rewarded enough. SPRO 1 year $3,931,000.

    Dan Jennings to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,400,000 with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox get bargain in Jennings. SPRO 1 year $2,475,000.

    Jake Petricka to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $825,000 with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pays market value for Petricka. SPRO 1 year $851,000.

    Darwin Barney to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,887,500 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto overpays for Barney. SPRO 1 year $1,256,000.

    Ezequial Carrera to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,162,500 with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto pay market value for Carrera. SPRO 1 year $1,103,000.

    Lucas Duda to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $7,250,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets get bargain in Duda. Bit of a concern with that as Duda has been trending down, so maybe they're right. SPRO 1 year $8,714,000.

    Freddy Galvis to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,350,000 contract with Phillies.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia pays market value for Galvis. SPRO 1 year $4,742,000.

    Trevor Bauer to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,550,500 with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for Bauer. SPRO 1 year $3,563,000.

    Matt Adams to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,800,000 with Cardinals.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis pays market value for Adams. SPRO 1 year $2,447,000.

    Carter Capps to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $987,500 with Padres.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego pays market value for Capps. Bit of a bargain. SPRO 1 year $1,226,000.

    Conor Gillaspie to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,400,000 contract with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco gets bargain in Gillaspie. SPRO 1 year $2,003,000.

    Zach Wheeler to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $800,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets pay market value for Wheeler. SPRO 1 year $954,000.

    Vidal Nuno to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,125,000 with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles Dodgers pay market value for Nuno. SPRO 1 year $1,078,000.

    Free Agents

    Week of January 2

    Rajai Davis signs 1 year $6,000,000 contract with A's, plus $450,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland pays market value for Davis. SPRO 1 year $5,816,000.


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Stat Geek Baseball and Salary Projections

The salary projections from Stat Geek Baseball and Baseball Evaluation are the result of over 5,000 hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA player ratings correlate to payroll, and the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how baseball pays its players.

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