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Hot Stove Contract Comparisons

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  • SPRO contract comparisons from the most recent contracts given out by your favorite baseball team for free agents, arbitration eligible and others. Find out what's going on in contract negotiations, what they've been paid, what they should have with the Stat Geek Baseball's SPRO Salary Projection system, and more.

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  • Free Agents

    Week of January 9

    Santiago Casilla signs 2 year $11,000,000 contract with A's, plus $1.5m per year incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland gets bargain in Casilla. Overall value consisistent, but bargain because some of dollars in incentives. SPRO 2 year $14,705,000.

    Trevor Plouffe signs 1 year $5,000,000 contract with A's, plus incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland gets bargain in Plouffe. SPRO 1 year $8,030,000.

    Alexi Amarista signs 1 year $1,250,000 contract with Rockies, plus $2.5m option for 2018.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado gets bargain in Amarista. Slight bargain, considering still below six years of MLB service time. SPRO 1 year $1,638,000.

    Colby Rasmus signs 1 year $5,000,000 contract with Rays, plus $2m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Rasmus. SPRO 1 year $6,209,000.

    Resigned with Team

    Week of January 9

    Brandon Maurer to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,900,000 with Padres.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego overpays for Maurer. SPRO 1 year $1,271,000.

    Billy Hamilton to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,625,000 contract with Reds.

    SPRO Analysis - Cincinnati pays market value for Hamilton. SPRO 1 year $2,635,000.

    Tony Cingrani to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,825,000 with Reds.

    SPRO Analysis - Cincinnati overpays for Cingrani. SPRO 1 year $868,000.

    Derek Norris to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,200,000 with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Norris. SPRO 1 year $4,821,000.

    Tanner Roark to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,315,000 with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington gets bargain in Roark. Big bargain also pointed out by other projections. SPRO 1 year $7,209,000.

    Hecton Rondon to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,8000,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs pay market value for Rondon. SPRO 1 year $5,810,000.

    Justin Grimm to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,825,000 with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago pays market value for Grimm. SPRO 1 year $1,713,000.

    Jordy Mercer to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,325,000 with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburg pays market value for Mercer. SPRO 1 year $4,963,000.

    Travis D'Arnaud to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,875,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets pay market value for d'Arnaud. SPRO 1 year $1,703,000.

    Jean Segura to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $6,200,000 with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Segura. SPRO 1 year $6,499,000.

    Drew Hutchison to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,300,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh pays market value for Hutchison. SPRO 1 year $2,229,000.

    Jared Hughes to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,825,000 with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Hughes. SPRO 1 year $3,671,000.

    Danny Espinosa to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,425,000 with Angels.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim pay market value for Espinosa. SPRO 1 year $5,333,000.

    Rick Flaherty to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,800,000 with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore overpays for Flaherty. SPRO 1 year $1,173,000.

    T.J. McFarland to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $685,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for McFarland. SPRO 1 year $826,000.

    Dan Otero to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,050,000 with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland gets bargain in Otero. Great year for a setup man not rewarded enough. SPRO 1 year $3,931,000.

    Dan Jennings to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,400,000 with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox get bargain in Jennings. SPRO 1 year $2,475,000.

    Jake Petricka to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $825,000 with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pays market value for Petricka. SPRO 1 year $851,000.

    Darwin Barney to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,887,500 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto overpays for Barney. SPRO 1 year $1,256,000.

    Ezequial Carrera to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,162,500 with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto pay market value for Carrera. SPRO 1 year $1,103,000.

    Lucas Duda to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $7,250,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets get bargain in Duda. Bit of a concern with that as Duda has been trending down, so maybe they're right. SPRO 1 year $8,714,000.

    Freddy Galvis to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,350,000 contract with Phillies.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia pays market value for Galvis. SPRO 1 year $4,742,000.

    Trevor Bauer to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,550,500 with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for Bauer. SPRO 1 year $3,563,000.

    Matt Adams to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,800,000 with Cardinals.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis pays market value for Adams. SPRO 1 year $2,447,000.

    Carter Capps to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $987,500 with Padres.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego pays market value for Capps. Bit of a bargain. SPRO 1 year $1,226,000.

    Conor Gillaspie to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,400,000 contract with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco gets bargain in Gillaspie. SPRO 1 year $2,003,000.

    Zach Wheeler to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $800,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets pay market value for Wheeler. SPRO 1 year $954,000.

    Vidal Nuno to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,125,000 with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles Dodgers pay market value for Nuno. SPRO 1 year $1,078,000.

    Free Agents

    Week of January 2

    Rajai Davis signs 1 year $6,000,000 contract with A's, plus $450,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland pays market value for Davis. SPRO 1 year $5,816,000.


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Stat Geek Baseball and Salary Projections

The salary projections from Stat Geek Baseball and Baseball Evaluation are the result of over 5,000 hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA player ratings correlate to payroll, and the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how baseball pays its players.

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