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Hot Stove Contract Comparisons

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  • SPRO contract comparisons from the most recent contracts given out by your favorite baseball team for free agents, arbitration eligible and others. Find out what's going on in contract negotiations, what they've been paid, what they should have with the Stat Geek Baseball's SPRO Salary Projection system, and more.

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  • Free Agents Signings

    Week of November 28

    Carlos Beltran to sign 1 year $16,000,000 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston overpays for Beltran. I don't know what Houston is doing this year, but seems like a bunch of dumb money being spent. SPRO 1 year $10,154,000.

    Marc Rzepczinski to sign 2 year $11,000,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle overpays for Marc. I know he had a good 11 plus innings for Washington at the end of the year, but that doesn't tell the whole of his recent story. No. There's a reason he moves around. SPRO 1 year $2,203,000.

    Matt Joyce to sign 2 year $11,000,000 contract with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland pays market value for Joyce. SPRO 2 years $11,661,000.

    Jon Jay to sign 1 year $8,000,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs overpay for Jay. Yes, he rebounded some last year, if you think two home runs and twenty-six RBI over 374 plate appearances is what you're looking for. Three straight years of his three year Rolling Average dropping does not warrant this payday. We'd be okay with two years at that price. SPRO 1 year $3,977,000.

    Edison Volquez to sign 2 year $22,000,000 contract with Marlins, pending physical.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Volquez. Not sure why some think his turn down of $17.2m for one year was good, but this contract is fair. SPRO 2 years $24,691,000.

    Resigned with Team

    Ehiri Adrianza to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $600,000/$300,000 split contract with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco pays market value for Adrianza. SPRO 1 year $553,000.

    Paco Rodriguez to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $637,500 contract with Braves.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Rodriguez. SPRO 1 year $562,000.

    Anthony Recker to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $800,000 contract with Braves.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Recker. SPRO 1 year $915,000.

    Scooter Gannett to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,525,000 contract with Brewers.

    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee pays market value for Gannett. SPRO 1 year $2,209,000.

    Cory Gearrin to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,050,000 contract with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco pays market value for Gearrin. SPRO 1 year $1,015,000.

    Eduardo Escobar to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $2,600,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota pays market value for Escobar. SPRO 1 year $2,555,000.

    Brett Lawrie to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,500,000 contract with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pays market value for Escobar. SPRO 1 year $3,263,000.

    Jake McGee to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,900,000 contract with Rockies.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado overpays for McGee. Reaching back three years for the one of two good years in his career. SPRO 1 year $4,594,000.

    Avisail Garcia to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,000,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pay market value for Garcia. SPRO 1 year $3,458,000.

    Yonder Alonso to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $4,000,000 contract with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland pay market value for Alonso. SPRO 1 year $4,040,000.

    Wade LeBlanc to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $800,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh pay market value for LeBlanc. SPRO 1 year $972,000.

    Rene Rivera to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,750,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets get bargain in Rivera. With all these high $ spent, to get a solid backup catcher in last year of arb for this is good. SPRO 1 year $2,231,000.

    Scott Van Slyke to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,325,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers pay market value for Van Slyke. SPRO 1 year $1,254,000.

    Chris Hatcher to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $,1250,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers overpay for Hatcher. It's slight and mostly caused by his $1,065,000 salary for 2016 and the desire to give him a raise and not a cut. But boy, nice to get a raise for a 5.53 ERA. SPRO 1 year $959,000.

    Jose Lobaton to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $1,575,000 contract, plus $25,000 incentives with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Lobaton. SPRO 1 year $1,241,000.

    Yoenis Cespedes to sign 4 year $110,000,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets overpay for Cespedes. At $27.5m per year, the Mets are saying Cesepedes is one of the ten best players in the game. But while he's very good, he's not that. SPRO 5 years $91,233,000.

    Jordan Lyles to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $3,175,000 contract with Rockies.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado overpays for Lyles. For us, a non-tender player at that price. Two high ERA years in a row. SPRO 1 year $1,392,000.

    Tuffy Gosewisch to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $635,000 contract with Braves.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Gosewisch. SPRO 1 years $549,000.

    Nori Aoki to AVOID ARBITRATION and sign 1 year $5,500,000 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston pays market value for Aoki. Little high, but in the mix for this arbitraiton eligible player who at one time was really a free agent coming into the league. SPRO 1 years $4,889,000 (ARB), 6,111,000 (FA).

    Free Agents Signings

    Week of November 21

    Jason Castro to sign 3 year $24,000,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota overpays for Castro. Seems to be a trend. Our concern, durability. Castro, great defensively, slowly decreases his ABs per year, so, for whatever reason, he's not been a full-time catcher. Too high for us unless he's gonna play more. SPRO for 2 year $9,683,000.

    Sean Rodriguez signs 2 year $11,500,000 contract with Braves.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta overpays for Rodriguez. Buy high. Yes, Rodriguez had his best year last year and seems to be on the trend up. But he's never been a full-time starter. Sorry, just too much chance for regression here. SPRO 2 years $8,350,000.

    Free Agents Signings

    Week of November 14

    Brett Cecil to sign reported 4 year $30,500,000 contract with Cardinals.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis overpays for Cecil. Yes, Cecil was worth this type of contract after 2015, but baseball execs seem to discount current past performance to their possible peril. St. Louis is usually pretty good at this, so maybe it will work out. SPRO for 2 year $8,736,000.

    Andrew Cashner to sign reported 1 year $10,000,000 contract with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas overpays for Cashner. 31-53 for his career. Worse the last two years. That's not worth $10m. SPRO for 1 year $4,353,000.

    Josh Reddick signs 4 year $52,000,000 contract with Astros, pending physical.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston overpays for Reddick. Okay, Astros being aggressive early in the offseason, and we like the Brian McCann pickup. But Reddick is not a player, except for two seasons, where you invest this type of cash. At least not for us. SPRO 3 year $20,579,000.

    Charlie Morton signs 2 year $14,000,000 contract plus $5m incentives with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston overpays for Morton. If you're hankering for a pitcher whose last full season was a 4.81 ERA in the National League or one who was hurt last year, he's your man. Way too much money here. SPRO 1 year $2,792,000.

    Re-Signed with Club

    Week of November 14

    Drew Butera signs 2 year $3,800,000 contract with Royals w/$1.5m in 2017, $2.3m in 2018.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City pays market value for Butera. We woudln't have given him the second year, but the numbers are okay for the first. SPRO 1 year $1,382,000.

    Free Agents Signings

    Week of November 7

    Bartolo Colon signs 1 year $12,500,000 with Braves.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Colon. They're going old and going young, but this contract, considering Colon's plus years is right in the mix. SPRO 1 year $13,384,000.

    R.A. Dickey signs 1 year $8,000,000 with Braves, including team option for $8m in 2018 with $500,000 buyout.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Dickey. Starting to diminish with four straight years of Rolling Average decline, but the numbers say this is okay. SPRO 1 year $9,465,000. Although, to be honest, I don't think we'd have done it.

    Kendry Morales signs 3 year $33,000,000 with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto pays market value for Morales. SPRO 3 years $30,156,000.

    Jesse Chavez signs 1 year $5,750,000 with Angels plus $2.5m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles of Anaheim overpays for Chavez. Sure, if he becomes an effective starter over twenty plus starts, his value will rise, but there was a reason he was sent to the bullpen to garner a rising ERA. SPRO 1 year $3,019,000.

    Re-Signed with Club

    Week of November 7

    Chris Heisey resigns 1 year $1,400,000 with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Heisey. SPRO 1 year $1,396,000.


    Free Agents

    Week of March 7

    David Freese signs 1 year $3,000,000 with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Freese. SPRO 1 year $5,916,000.

    Pedro Alvarez signs 1 year $5,750,000 with Orioles, plus $1.5m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore gets bargain in Alvarez. With the incentives, it's right in the ballpark, but Alvarez is taking that risk. Good deal for the club. SPRO 1 year $7,993,000.


    Qualifying Offer Players

    Week of November 7

    Would We or Wouldn't We

    Jeremy Hellickson SPRO VALUE $8,208,000 (2017), 3-$25,495,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TAKE Qualifying Offer. As one of the better free agent pitchers out there, Hellickson will likely get a better deal than the one SPRO thinks he's worth, but, if he does not, take the offer.

    Yoenis Cespedes SPRO VALUE $16,291,000 (2017), 5-$86,714,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer. Bigger payday will be out there.

    Neil Walker SPRO VALUE $9,623,000 (2017), 3-$29,892,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer. Walker is diminishing, so he'd be taking a risk, if a three year contract is out there, not to take it.

    Mark Trumbo SPRO VALUE $10,870,000 (2017), 3-$33,764,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer.

    Jose Bautista SPRO VALUE $19,782,000 (2017), 3-$61,447,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer.

    Edwin Encarnacion SPRO VALUE $20,786,000 (2017), 5-$110,643,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer.

    Kenley Jansen SPRO VALUE $17,706,000 (2017), 5-$94,245,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer. Jansen will likely get offered a contract at the top of the best relief pitcher offers ever. We wouldn't give it to him, though, despite his great 2016 season, and what SPRO says.

    Justin Turner SPRO VALUE $14,185,000 (2017), 4-$59,604,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer. Turner seems to be getting better with age and someone will offer him a good long term contract.

    Ian Desmond SPRO VALUE $11,790,000 (2017), 4-$49,542,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer. QO was higher than we'd ever pay him, but a long term contract with lower average per year $ is probably best for Desmond.

    Dexter Fowler SPRO VALUE $11,942,000 (2017), 4-$50,181,000 (Contract).

    SPRO Analysis - TURN DOWN Qualifying Offer. Similar to rationale for Desmond, although with World Series fresh in mind, Fowler will likely get the quicker long term deal.


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