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Hot Stove Contract Comparisons

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  • SPRO contract comparisons from the most recent contracts given out by your favorite baseball team for free agents, arbitration eligible and others. Find out what's going on in contract negotiations, what they've been paid, what they should have with the Stat Geek Baseball's SPRO Salary Projection system, and more.

  • Hot Stove
  • Week of March 23

    Re-Signed with Club
    Brian Dozier signs 4 year $20,000,000 contract extension with Twins.
    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota pays market value for Dozier. One year too long for us, but a good deal none the less. SPRO 3 years $13,036,000 actually makes it a bit of a bargain in the first three as he'll be making $11m in that time frame.

    Week of March 16

    Re-Signed with Club
    Adam Eaton signs 5 year $23,500,000 contract with $9.5m/$10.5m option for 6th and 7th year and $1.5m buyout with White Sox.
    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox overpays for Eaton. It's hard to say these types are overpays, because we just don't know. Too far out after one good year to know. We're not in favor of these deals, but they may work out okay. For us, SPRO 2 years $3,256,000. For the first two years of the actual deal, it's right on the money.

    Christian Yelich signs 7 year $49,570,000 contract with $15,000,000 option for 8th year and $2m buyout with Marlins.
    SPRO Analysis - Miami overpays for Yelich. It's just too early for this for us. Might end up being good, but we'd wait until after this year to see whether his one good year turns into more. Be interesting to see what the year to year details are. For right now, SPRO 3 years $4,991,000.

    Week of February 23

    Free Agents

    John Axford signs 1 year $2,600,000 contract with $1,100,000 incentives with Rockies.
    SPRO Analysis - Colorado overpays for Axford. Three straight decreasing years shouldn't make a deal for this high. SPRO $1,931,000.

    Everth Cabrera signs 1 year $2,400,000 contract with $600,000 incentives with Orioles.
    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for Cabrera. A slight bargain since they may not have to pay the incentives, but SPRO is right on the total number at $3,140,000.

    Dustin McGowan signs 1 year $507,500 contract with $2.5m incentives with Dodgers.
    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles Dodgers get bargain in McGowan.
    Well, it's actually more of a market value play, although it's possible for the Dodgers to get out cheap. With roster bonuses and other incentives, they've actually paid too much. SPRO 1 years $1,567,000.

    Re-signed with Club

    Francisco Rodriguez signs 2 year $13m contract with Brewers w/3rd year option of $6m. $4m of money is deferred from 1st two years.
    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee pays market value for Rodriguez. SPRO 2 years $13,663,000.

    Joba Chamberlain signs contract with Tigers. Terms unknown.
    SPRO Analysis - Detroit pays ?? for Chamberlain. SPRO $1,559,000.

    Week of February 16

    Re-signed with Club

    Eric Hosmer signs 2 year $13,900,000 contract with Royals.
    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City pays market value for Hosmer. Signed deal before going to his arbitration hearing. It's a tad high, but we're not going to quibble. SPRO 2 years $12,617,000.

    Signed Before Arbitration Hearing

    Zero players signed prior to hearing.

    Arbitration Hearing

    Atlanta Braves LOSE hearing with Mike Minor
    Colorado Rockies WIN hearing with Wilin Rosario
    Arizona Diamondbacks LOSE hearing with Mark Trumbo
    Pittsburgh Pirates LOSE hearing with Pedro Alvarez

    Week of February 9

    Free Agents Rickie Weeks signs 1 year $2,000,000 contract plus $2m incentives with Mariners.
    SPRO Analysis - Seattle gets bargain in Weeks. Incentive laden contract good for the club, and appropriate overall. SPRO 1 year $4,489,000, including all incentives.

    James Shields signs 4 year $75,000,000 contract plus 5th years option with Padres.
    SPRO Analysis - San Diego pays market value for Shields. SPRO 4 years $75,599,000 good.

    Re-signed with Club

    Kelvin Herrera signs 2 year $4,150,000 contract with Royals.
    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City gets bargain in Herrera. Signed deal before going to his arbitration hearing. SPRO 2 years $5,771,000.

    Jon Jay signs 2 year $10,975,000 contract with Cardinals.
    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis gets bargain in Jay. Yes, some of his numbers look more pedestrian than others, but just look at that OBP. Signed deal before going to his arbitration hearing. SPRO 2 years $14,667,000.

    Signed Before Arbitration Hearing

    Matt Joyce, Tyler Clippard, Casey McGehee, Aroldis Chapman, Addison Reed, Greg Holland sign prior to hearing.

    Arbitration Hearing

    Pittsburgh Pirates LOSE hearing with Vance Worley.
    Washington Nationals LOSE hearing with Jerry Blevins.
    Toronto Blue Jays WIN hearing with Josh Donaldson.
    New York Yankees WIN hearing with David Phelps.

    Week of February 2

    Free Agents

    Brook Badenhop signs 1 year $2,500,000 contract plus $250,000 incentives with Reds. Option included for $4m.
    SPRO Analysis - Cincinnati gets bargain in Badenhop. It's that time of the year when those left on the shelf start to be bargains for teams that pick them up. Badenhop was good last year. SPRO says $3,808,000 good, including all incentives.

    Kyle Kendrick signs 1 year $5,500,000 contract plus incentives with Rockies.
    SPRO Analysis - Colorado gets bargain in Kendrick. A bit hard to say that, because we don't think Colorado is a good place for Kendrick to pitch. But he does give innings. SPRO $7,151,000, including all potential incentives.

    Re-signed with Club

    Michael Dunn signs 2 year $5,800,000 contract with Marlins, plus $100,000 incentives.
    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Miley. Signed to this two year deal before going to his arbitration hearing. SPRO 2 years $5,073,000.

    Todd Frazier signs 2 year $12,000,000 contract with Reds.
    SPRO Analysis - Cincinnati pays market value for Frazier. Signed this deal before going to his arbitration hearing, actually a slight bargain for both years. SPRO 2 years $13,225,000.

    Wade Miley signs 3 year $19,250,000 contract with Red Sox.
    SPRO Analysis - Boston pays market value for Miley. Signed to this three year deal before going to his arbitration hearing, it may be a big of a bargain. Hard to say as Miley's years have dipped over the last two. SPRO 3 years $21,875,000.

    Signed Before Arbitration Hearing

    Brandon Belt, Garrett Richards, Lucas Duda, Mike Moustakis, Miquel Gonzalez, Lorenzo Cain, Zach Britton, Pedro Strop, Danny Duffy sign prior to hearing.

    Arbitration Hearing

    Miami Marlins WIN hearing with Mat Latos.
    Toronto Blue Jays LOSE hearing with Danny Valencia.
    Oakland A's WIN hearing with Jarrod Parker.
    Pittsburgh Pirates WIN hearing with Todd Walker.

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Stat Geek Baseball and Salary Projections

The salary projections from Stat Geek Baseball and Baseball Evaluation are the result of over 5,000 hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA player ratings correlate to payroll, and the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how baseball pays its players.

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