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Hot Stove Contract Comparisons

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  • SPRO contract comparisons from the most recent contracts given out by your favorite baseball team for free agents, arbitration eligible and others. Find out what's going on in contract negotiations, what they've been paid, what they should have with the Stat Geek Baseball's SPRO Salary Projection system, and more.

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  • Re-Signed with Club

    Week of January 25

    Neil Walker signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for 1 year $10,550,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets get bargain in Walker. SPRO 1 year $13,124,000.

    Howie Kendrick re-signs for 2 years $20,000,000 with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers overpay for Kendrick. We know others thought Kendrick would get a significant long term deal, but we never thought so. Max for us was 3 years $26,723,000. For 2 years $17,507,000.

    Shawn Tolleson signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for 1 year $3,275,000 with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas overpays for Tolleson. SPRO 1 year $2,193,000.

    Charlie Blackmon signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $3,500,000 with Rockies.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado gets bargain in Blackmon. SPRO 1 year $4,177,000.

    Trevor Plouffe signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $7,250,000 with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota gets bargain in Plouffe. Small bargain. SPRO 1 year $8,141,000.

    Ivan Nova signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $4,100,000 with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees overpay for Nova. Not enough IP, 114 in last two years, plus ERA over 5 and over 8. No thanks. SPRO 1 year $1,638,000.

    Cole Calhoun signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $3,400,000 with Angels.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Angels of Anaheim gets bargain in Calhoun. SPRO 1 year $4,919,000.

    Josh Tomlin signs extension for 2 years $5,500,000 with Indians, including 3rd year option at $3m with $750,000 buyout. There are also $4m incentives available in 2017-8. Contract replaces one year deal signed earlier this off-season to avoid arbitration.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for Tomlin. Not the kind of player we'd bother with giving more than one year, but the dollars are fine. SPRO 1 years $2,300,000.

    Free Agents

    Week of January 25

    Steve Pearce signs 1 year $4,750,000 plus $1.25m incentives with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Pearce. Think the regular dollar figure is fine without the incentives, although we'd have been fine with a second year. SPRO 1 year $4,690,000.

    Doug Fister signs 1 year $7,000,000 plus $5m incentives with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston pays market value for Fister. Bargain if no incentives hit. We'd have been okay at three years along the SPRO value of $10,541,000 plus per year.

    Re-Signed with Club

    Week of January 18

    Matt Albers re-signs for 1 year $2,000,000 with White Sox, plus option for 2nd year at $3m with $250,000 buyout.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pay market value for Albers. SPRO 1 year $2,343,000.

    Garret Richards signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $6,425,000 with Angels.

    SPRO Analysis - LA of Anaheim pays market value for Richards. Actually, a little bit of a bargain. SPRO 1 year $7,068,000.

    Junichi Tazawa signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $3,375,000 with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston overpays for Tazawa. SPRO 1 year $2,409,000.

    Nathan Eovaldi signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $5,600,000 with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees overpay for Eovaldi. SPRO 1 year $3,634,000.

    Chris Stewart avoids ARBITRATION and signs extension 2 years $3m with team for 3rd year at $1.5m and $250,000 buyout with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh pays market value for Stewart. Probably woundn't have been worried about giving him out years. SPRO 1 year $1,349,000.

    Didi Gregorious signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $2,425,000 with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees pay market value for Fields. SPRO 1 year $2,466,000.

    Yoenis Cespedes re-signs for 3 years $75,000,000 with Mets, including 1 year Opt-Out paying $27.5m for 2016.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets overpay for Cespedes. Got a bargain in the years, but Cespedes, to us, is not a $25m per year player even in the short-term. SPRO 5 years $93,092,000.

    Lucas Duda signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $6,725,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets get bargain in Duda. SPRO 1 year $9,612,000.

    Jenrry Mejia signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $2,470,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets overpay for Mejia. Concern with Mejia is durability, one max inning year as a reliever. It's a number they almost had to pay though with last year's number at $2,595,000, but, for us ... SPRO 1 year $1,190,000.

    Kevin Jepsen signs prior to ARBITRATION HEARING for $5,312,500 with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota overpays for Jepsen. SPRO 1 year $4,447,000.

    Free Agents

    Week of January 18

    Antonio Bastardo signs 2 year $12,000,000 with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets overpays for Bastardo. Peripherals not as good as the gross numbers seem. But he'll probably do good in that big park, which won't allow those walks to matter as much. SPRO 1 year $3,170,000.

    Fernando Rodney signs 1 year $1,600,000 with Padres, plus Club Option for $2m with $400,000 buyout. Also includes $5m incentives and option for 3rd year.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego gets bargain in Rodney. Total contract could be worth about what SPRO says, but they've got this with incentives, not guarantees. Good job. SPRO 2 year $6,222,000.

    Joe Blanton signs 1 year $4,000,000 with Dodgers, plus $1m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers overpay for Blanton. Just cause they always do. SPRO 1 year $3,288,000.

    Justin Upton signs 6 year $132,750,000 with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit overpays for Upton. Whoa, baby! This is the type of player team's value, but just are not worth it. Upton is good, not great. All-Star caliber 1/3 of the time. And for the last four years in a row, his OBP has gone down. He's becoming less patient at 28 years of age. Not a good sign, using whichever definition of the word you want to. SPRO 5 years $79,122,000.


    Re-Signed with Club

    Week of January 11

    Josh Fields avoids ARBITRATION and signs for 1 year $900,000 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston pays market value for Fields. SPRO 1 year $800,000.

    Luis Valbuena avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $6,125,500 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston gets bargain in Valbuena. SPRO $8,908,000.

    Josh Reddick avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $6,575,000 contract with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland pays market value for Reddick. SPRO $7,044,000.

    Danny Valencia avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,150,000 contract with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland overpays for Valencia. SPRO $2,513,000.

    Charlie Furbush avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,600,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle overpays for Furbush. SPRO $950,000.

    Leonys Martin avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,150,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle overpays for Martin. SPRO $2,443,000.

    Evan Schribner avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $807,000 contract with Mariners.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Scribner. SPRO $780,000. Robinson Chirinos avoids ARBITRATION and signs 2 year $1,550,000 contract with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Chirinos. SPRO 1 year $1,265,000.

    Jurikson Profar avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $605,000 contract with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Profar. SPRO $519,000.

    Cody Allen avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,150,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for Allen. SPRO $3,617,000.

    Bryan Shaw avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,750,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Clevleland pays market value for Shaw. SPRO $2,459,000.

    Louis Coleman avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $725,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City pays market value for Coleman. SPRO $853,000. Tony Cruz avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $975,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City pays market value for Cruz. SPRO $810,000. Jarrod Dyson avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,725,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City overpays for Dyson. SPRO $1,122,000. Andrew Romine avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $900,000 contract with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit pays market value for Romine. SPRO $822,000.

    Chris Winslow avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $610,000 contract with Braves.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Winslow. SPRO $528,000.

    Bryan Morris avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,350,000 contract with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami gets bargain in Morris. SPRO $1,936,000.

    David Phelps avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,500,000 contract with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami overpays for Phelps. SPRO $1,047,000.

    Josh Edgin avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $625,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets pay market value for Edgin. SPRO $841,000.

    Addison Reed avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,300,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets overpay for Reed. SPRO $2,342,000.

    Carlos Torres avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,050,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets pay market value for Torres. SPRO $1,156,000.

    Danny Espinosa avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,875,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington overpays for Espinosa. SPRO $1,255,000.

    Anthony Rendon avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,800,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington gets bargain in Rendon. SPRO $3,382,000.

    Stephen Strasburg avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $10,400,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Strasburg. Slight bargain, but one none the less. SPRO $10,913,000.

    >Avisail Garcia avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,100,000 contract with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pay market value for Garcia. SPRO $2,300,000.

    Dan Jennings avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $810,000 contract with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pays market value for Jennings. SPRO $882,000.

    Brett Lawrie avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,125,000 contract with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox overpays for Lawrie. SPRO $3,100,000.

    Brett Cecil avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,800,000 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto gets bargain in Cecil. SPRO $5,408,000.

    Steve Delabar avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $835,000 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto pays market value for Delabar. SPRO $856,000.

    Michael Saunders avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,900,000 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto overpays for Saunders. SPRO $2,354,000.

    Brad Brach avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,250,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for Brach. SPRO $1,444,000.

    Ryan Flaherty avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,500,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore overpays for Flaherty. SPRO $1,008,000.

    Desmond Jennings avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,300,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay gets bargain in Jennings. SPRO $4,099,000.

    Wellington Castillo avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,700,000 contract with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona overpays for Castillo. SPRO $3,180,000.

    Randall Delgado avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,250,000 contract with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona pays market value for Delgado. SPRO $1,205,000.

    Rubby De La Rosa avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,350,000 contract with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona pays market value for De La Rosa. SPRO $2,310,000.

    Daniel Hudson avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,700,000 contract with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona overpays for Hudson. SPRO $1,122,000.

    Luis Avilan avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,390,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers pays market value for Avilan. SPRO $1,374,000.

    Kenley Jansen avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $10,650,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers overpay for Jansen. SPRO $9,467,000.

    Scott Van Slyke avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,225,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers pay market value for Van Slyke. SPRO $1,391,000.

    Derek Norris avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,925,000 contract with Padres.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego gets bargain in Norris. SPRO $4,247,000.

    Wily Peralta avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,800,000 contract with Brewers.

    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee pays market value for Peralta. SPRO $3,112,000.

    Will Smith avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,475,000 contract with Brewers.

    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee pays market value for Smith. SPRO $1,475,000.

    Seth Maness avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,400,000 contract with Cards.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis pays market value for Maness. SPRO $1,721,000.

    Francisco Cervelli avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,500,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh get bargain in Cervelli. SPRO $6,167,000.

    Jared Hughes avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,175,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Hughes. SPRO $2,722,000.

    Jeff Locke avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,025,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh overpays for Locke. SPRO $2,514,000.

    Mark Melancon avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $9,650,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Melancon. SPRO $13,775,000.

    Jordy Mercer avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,075,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Mercer. SPRO $2,568,000.

    Tony Watson avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,450,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh gets bargain in Watson. SPRO $5,508,000.

    Fernando Rodriguez avoids ARBITRATION and signs for 1 years $1,050,000 contract with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland pays market value for Rodriguez. SPRO 1 year $950,000.

    Drew Butera avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,162,500 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City pays market value for Butera? SPRO $878,000.

    Danny Duffy avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,225,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia overpays for Duffy. SPRO $3,063,000.

    Jose Iglesias avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,100,000 contract with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit overpays for Iglesias. SPRO $1,507,000.

    Zach Putnam avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $975,000 contract with White Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox pay market value for Putnam. SPRO $975,000.

    Drew Hutchinson avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,200,000 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto pays market value for Hutchinson. SPRO$2,447,000.

    Miguel Gonzalez avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,100,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore overpays for Gonzalez. SPRO $3,731,000. Hank Conger avoids ARBITRATION and signs 2 year $1,500,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Conger. SPRO 1 years $1,398,000.

    Joe Kelly avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,600,000 contract with Red Sox.

    SPRO Analysis - Boston overpays for Kelly. SPRO $1,551,000.

    Dustin Ackley avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,200,000 contract with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees pay market value for Ackley. SPRO $3,411,000.

    Michael Pineda avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,300,000 contract with Yankees.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Yankees overpay for Pineda. SPRO $3,169,000.

    Patrick Corbin avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,525,000 contract with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona overpays for Corbin. SPRO $1,936,000. Shelby Miller avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,350,000 contract with Diamondbacks.

    SPRO Analysis - Arizona gets bargain in Miller. SPRO $5,165,000.

    Justin Turner avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,100,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers get bargain in Turner. SPRO $6,789,000.

    Nolan Arenado avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,000,000 contract with Rockies.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado gets bargain in Arenado. SPRO $6,631,000.

    Jean Segura avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,600,000 contract with Brewers.

    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee gets bargain in Seguara. SPRO $3,363,000.

    Matt Adams avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,650,000 contract with Cards.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis pays market value for Adams. SPRO $1,822,000.

    Chris Coghlan avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,800,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs get bargain in Coghlan. SPRO $6,504,000.

    Pedro Strop avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,400,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs overpay for Strop. SPRO $3,721,000.

    Aroldys Vizcaino avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $897,500,000 contract with Braves.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Vizcaino. SPRO $964,000.

    Adeiny Hechavarria avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,625,000 contract with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Hechavarria. SPRO $2,944,000.

    Tom Koehler avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,500,000 contract with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Koehler. SPRO $3,519,000.

    A.J. Ramos avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,400,000 contract with Marlins.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Ramos SPRO $3,291,000.

    Matt Harvey avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,325,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets get bargain in Harvey. SPRO $6,163,000.

    Ruben Tejada avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,000,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - NY Mets pay market value for Tejada. SPRO $3,123,000.

    Danny Espinosa avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,875,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington overpays for Espinosa. SPRO $1,255,000.

    Ben Revere avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $6,250,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington gets bargain in Revere. Slight bargain, but one none the less. SPRO $6,948,000.

    Dee Gordon avoids ARBITRATION and signs extension for 5 years $50,000,000 contract with Marlins, plus 6th year option at $14m with $1m buyout.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami pays market value for Gordon. We wouldn't have gone out that long, but the numbers are okay. SPRO 3 years $22,125,000.

    Chris Hatcher avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,065,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers overpays for Hatcher. Hey, they're the Dodgers; they always overpay, right? SPRO $799,000.

    Freddie Galvis avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,000,000 contract with Phillies.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia pays market value for Galvis. SPRO $1,941,000.

    Yonder Alonso avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,650,000 contract with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland overpays for Alonso. Guess it's the catcher bonus. SPRO $1,960,000.

    Tom Wilhelmsen avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $3,100,000 contract with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Wilhelmsen. SPRO $3,215,000.

    Justin Wilson avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,525,000 contract with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit overpays for Wilson. Very slight. SPRO$1,154,000.

    Wilson Ramos avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,350,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Ramos. We're a little lower, but Ramos had his best year last year and they're focused on that. SPRO $4,725,000. Logan Forsythe avoids ARBITRATION and signs 2 year $10,250,000 contract with Rays, plus $8.5m option for 3rd year with $1m buyout.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay overpays for Forsythe. SPRO 2 years $8,404,000.

    Marwin Gonzalez avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,000,000 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston pays market value for Gonzalez. SPRO $1,687,000.

    Dallas Keutchel avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $7,250,000 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston gets bargain in Keutchel. SPRO $9,443,000.

    Tanner Scheppers avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $900,000 contract with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas pays market value for Scheppers. SPRO$956,000.

    Lonnie Chisenhall avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,375,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland gets bargain in Chisenhall. SPRO $2,881,000. Jeff Manship avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $765,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland gets bargain in Manship. SPRO $1,250,000.

    Josh Tomlin avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,250,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for Tomlin. SPRO $2,300,000.

    Yasmani Grandal avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,800,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers pay market value for Grandal. SPRO $2,890,000.

    Andrew Cashner avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $7,150,000 contract with Padres.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego overpays for Cashner. I think somebody forgot park factors. SPRO $4,975,000.

    Tyson Ross avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $9,625,000 contract with Padres.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego overpays for Ross. Ditto above. SPRO $7,030,000.

    Brandon Moss avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $8,250,000 contract with Cards.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis pays market value for Moss. SPRO $8,480,000.

    Trevor Rosenthal avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,600,000 contract with Cards.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis overpays for Rosenthal. SPRO $4,601,000.

    Justin Grimm avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,275,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs pay market value for Grimm. SPRO $1,405,000.

    Hector Rondon avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,200,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs pay market value for Rondon. SPRO $4,573,000.

    Adam Warren avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,700,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs pay market value for Warren. SPRO $1,776,000.

    Travis Wood avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $6,175,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs pay market value for Wood SPRO $5,503,000.

    Carter Capps avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,800,000 contract with Marlins, plus $200,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami overpays for Capps. SPRO $1,567,000.

    Jeremy Hellickson avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $7,000,000 contract with Phillies.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia overpays for Hellickson. SPRO $5,182,000.

    >Mark Trumbo avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $9,150,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore overpays for Trumbo. Too much, trending down, though still young. SPRO 1 year $7,235,000.

    Jeanmar Gomez avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,400,000 contract with Phillies.

    SPRO Analysis - Philadelphia pays market value for Gomez.SPRO 1 year $1,678,000.

    Drew Pomeranz avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,350,000 contract with Padres.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego pays market value for Pomeranz. SPRO 1 year $1,118,000.

    Alex Cobb avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,000,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay overpays for Cobb. Our system values durability alot, be we do recognize that the way MLB pays, you can't drop off last year's $4m with a player like this. So, what we're saying, this is okay. SPRO 1 years $2,627,000.

    Brandon Guyer avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,185,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay gets bargain in Guyer. SPRO 1 year $1,702,000.

    Jake McGee avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,800,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for McGee. SPRO 1 year $4,729,000.

    Fernando Salas avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,400,000 contract with Angels.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Angels of Anaheim overpays for Salas. SPRO 1 year $1,760,000.

    Eduardo Escobar avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,150,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota pays market value for Escobar. SPRO 1 year $2,057,000.

    Casey Fein avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,275,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota pays market value for Fein. SPRO 1 year $2,017,000.

    Eduardo Nunez avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,475,000 contract with Twins.

    SPRO Analysis - Minnesota overpays for Nunez. SPRO 1 year $987,000.

    Aaron Loup avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,050,000 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto pays market value for Loup. SPRO 1 year $1,237,000.

    Drew Storen avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $8,375,000 contract with Blue Jays.

    SPRO Analysis - Toronto overpays for Storen. Don't know what they're thinking, although others agree with this number. Too much for us for a closer ousted from his job in DC. SPRO 1 year $5,745,000.

    Manny Machado avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,000,000 contract, plus incentives, with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for Machado. SPRO 1 year $6,575,000, including all incentives.

    Chris Tillman avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $6,225,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore pays market value for Tillman. SPRO 1 year $6,772,000.

    Logan Morrison avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $4,200,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay overpays for Morrison. SPRO 1 year $3,284,000.

    Erasmo Ramirez avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,375,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Ramirez. Little high, but okay. SPRO 1 year $1,947,000.

    Rene Rivera avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,700,000 contract with Rays.

    SPRO Analysis - Tampa Bay pays market value for Rivera. SPRO 1 year $2,064,000.

    Free Agent Signings

    Week of January 11

    Chris Davis signs 7 year $161,000,000 with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore overpays for Davis. It's not the biggest overpay we've seen. One year too long for us; $3m per year too high. SPRO 6 years $121,000,000.

    Ian Kennedy signs 5 year $70,000,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City overpays for Kennedy. Bigger overpay than Davis on a per year and percentage basis. SPRO 3 years $29,282,000.

    Al Alburquerque signs 1 year $1,100,000 contract with Angels, plus incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Angels of Anaheim get bargain in Alburquerque. Kinda market value with SPRO at $1,880,000, including all potential incentives.

    Alexei Ramirez signs 1 year $4,000,000 contract with Padres, plus mutal option.

    SPRO Analysis - San Diego gets bargain in Ramirez. We just plain think he's better than those numbers, even though now 34. SPRO 3 years $28,742,000.

    Wei-Yin Chen signs 5 year $80,000,000 contract with Marlins, including player opt-out after 2 years.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami overpays for Chen. Stop it already with all these opt-outs. Salary for the first two years is fine at $20m, but to hold out the possibility that if Chen falters, you pay him $60 million for the next 3 years is preposterous. Remember, if he actually becomes a $20m per year pitcher, he leaves. SPRO 3 years $32,755,000.

    Gerardo Parra signs 3 year $27,500,000 contract with Rockies, with club option for 4th year at $12m with $1.5m buyout.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado pays market value for Parra. SPRO 3 years $28,742,000.

    Week of January 4

    Re-Signed with Club

    Hector Santiago avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $5,000,000 contract with Angels.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim overpays for Santiago. Based on just last year, contract not out of line. SPRO 1 years $4,044,000.

    Zach McAllister avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $1,300,000 contract with Indians.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for McAllister. SPRO 1 years $1,290,000.

    Jordan Lyles avoids ARBITRATION and signs 1 year $2,975,000 contract with Rockies.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado overpays for Lyles. For all but one season of his career, even the first three years in Houston, Lyles was an over 5.00 ERA guy. Limited innings last year after a better year in 2014 made the Rockies pay him, instead of not tendering him a contract within the paramters of 2015, when he was paid $2,475,000. That all makes sense, maybe 2014 was what he was. We're just not sure. SPRO $1,189,000.

    Alex Gordon signs 4 year $72,000,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City overpays for Gordon. Valuable player, but a bit high. SPRO 4 years $58,482,000.

    Brandon Beachy signs 1 year $1,500,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles Dodgers overpay for Beachy. SPRO $640,000.


    Free Agent Signings

    Denard Span signs 3 year $31,000,000 contract with Giants, pending physical.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco pays market value for Span. SPRO 3 years $28,176,000.

    Chris Carter signs 1 year $2,500,000 contract with Brewers, plus $500,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Milwaukee gets bargain in Carter. Yes, we know of his batting average struggles, but this guy has pop. SPRO $4,564,000.

    Neftali Feliz signs 1 year $3,900,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh overpays for Feliz. Still young, but on that ping pong up and down at lower levels each pong. SPRO $1,588,000.

    Kelly Johnson signs 1 year $1,000,000 contract with Braves, plus $1.25m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Johnson. SPRO $2,949,000.

    Week of December 28

    Free Agent Signings

    Scott Kazmir signs 3 year $48,000,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles overpays for Kazmir. Big dropoff from Greinke, of course, both in ability and dollars. SPRO 3 years $31,618,000.

    Stephen Drew signs 1 year $3,000,000 contract with Nationals, plus $1.25m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Drew. SPRO $3,611,000.

    Week of December 21

    Free Agent Signings

    Daniel Murphy signs 3 year $37,500,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington pays market value for Murphy. SPRO 3 years $33,100,000.

    John Jaso signs 2 year $8,000,000 contract with Pirates.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh overpays for Jaso. SPRO 2 years $6,410,000.

    Alejandro De Aza signs 1 year $4,500,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets get bargain in De Aza. SPRO $6,166,000.

    Mike Leake signs 5 year $80,000,000 contract with Cardinals, plus mutual option 6th year $13-14m.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis overpays for Leake. SPRO 3 years $34,069,000.

    Week of December 14

    Re-Signed with Club

    Bartolo Colon signs 1 year $7,250,000 contract with Mets.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets get bargain in Colon. SPRO$11,359,000. Yes, he's old, but he keeps coming up with good seasons. They say he had deals for more from other teams, but wanted to stay in New York. He was worth it.

    Hisashi Iwakuma signs 1 year $12,000,000 contract with Mariners, including $2,500,000 incentives per year plus two year options guaranteed with 162 IP for $14m and $15m.

    SPRO Analysis - Mariners overpay for Iwakuma. Not much on year one, but a bit, considering it's not guaranteed past that. SPRO 3 year $34,271,000; $11,033,000 for 2016.

    Jerry Blevins signs 1 year $4,000,000 contract with Mets, including $1m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - New York overpays for Blevins. One of those players coming off injury; always curious to why clubs want to overpay for them. SPRO $1,347,000.

    Sean Rodriguez signs 1 year $2,500,000 contract with Pirates, including $500,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh overpays for Rodriguez. SPRO 1 year $1,598,000. OPS drop two years straight. AAAA player at this point.

    Adam Ottavino signs 3 year $10,400,000 contract with Rockies, avoiding arbitration ($1.3m, $2.1m, $7m).

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado pays market value for Ottavino. We wouldn't have extended him, but the value is okay, SPRO 1 year $1,757,000.

    Jarrod Parker signs 1 year $850,000 contract with Athletics ($425,000 guarantee).

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland pays market value for Parker. SPRO 1 year $1,146,000. Might have got off a bit cheap; tough to value after two years out, but promising career start.

    Nate Jones signs 3 year $8,000,000 contract with White Sox, team options $4.65m, $5.15m and mutual option $6m with $1.25m buyout per first two option seasons. There are also adjustments allowed per injury status.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago White Sox overpay for Jones. SPRO 1 year $921,000. Absolutely no good enough reason to extend Jones like this after two years when he pitched a total of 19 innings. They had one more year of arbitration to go to see whether he recovered to a form that really only lasted his rookies season anyway.

    Colby Lewis signs 1 year $6,000,000 contract with Rangers.

    SPRO Analysis - Texas gets bargain in Lewis. SPRO $7,512,000.

    Jeff Mathis signs 1 year $1,500,000 contract with Marlins, plus $100,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Miami overpays for Mathis. SPRO $950,000.

    Free Agents

    Johnny Cueto signs 6 year $130,000,000 contract with Giants, including after year 2 opt-out and 7th year option.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco gets bargain in Cueto. Okay, we admit it, a bit hard to quantify what that opt-out is worth, but for us, this is a better sign on a per money basis than the Price signing. SPRO 6 years $142,694,000.

    Mike Napoli signs 1 year $7,000,000 contract with Indians, plus $3m incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Clevelands pays market value for Napoli. Might be a little high with the incentives, but it's okay. SPRO $6,821,000.

    Rajai Davis signs 1 year $5,250,000 contract with Indians, plus $1,225,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Cleveland pays market value for Davis. A little high on the year plus incentives, but okay. We'd have been okay with a second year at slightly lower value. SPRO $4,735,000.

    Daniel Nava signs 1 year $1,375,000 contract with Angels.

    SPRO Analysis - Los Angeles of Anaheim gets bargain in Nava. Down two years in a row and it might be a trend at 32 years of age, but we think Nava will rebound off last year. SPRO $2,321,000.

    Steve Cishek signs 2 year $10,000,000 contract with Mariners, including $3.5m incentives per year.

    SPRO Analysis - Seattle pays market value for Cishek. SPRO 2 years $13,010,000, including all incentives.

    Mike Aviles signs 1 year $2,000,000 contract with Tigers, including $300,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit pays market value for Aviles. SPRO $2,187,000.

    Ryan Vogelsong signs 1 year $2,000,000 contract with Pirates, including $3,000,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Pittsburgh pays market value for Vogelsong. SPRO $2,785,000, including incentives

    Henderson Alvarez signs 1 year $4,250,000 contract with A's, including $1,600,000 incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland overpays for Alvarez. Again, slightly above our value of SPRO 1 year $3,694,000.

    Week of December 7

    Re-Signed with Club

    Darren O'Day signs 4 year $31,000,000 contract with Orioles.

    SPRO Analysis - Baltimore gets bargain in O'Day. We would have liked one year shorter, but the per year numbers are low, especially when you consider that O'Day, unlike some other recently signed relievers, has been healthy and productive in four straight years and might even be getting better. SPRO 3 years $28,698,000.

    Trevor Cahill signs 1 year $4,250,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs overpay for Cahill. SPRO $1,858,000. Three year Rolling Average of Cahill's ability has decreased for three straight years. Yes, we know $4m is chump change anymore, but it's still more change than we'd give Cahill till he can prove more.

    Chris Young signs 2 year $11,750,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City pays market value for Young. SPRO $12,013,000.

    Free Agents

    John Axford signs 1 year $1,000,000 contract with A's.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland get bargain in Axford. SPRO $2,691,000.

    Jeff Samardzija signs 5 year $90,000,000 contract with Giants.

    SPRO Analysis - San Francisco overpays for Samardzija. We just don't think he's worth this type of money. More flash over substance, although he does give you innings. They just add up to a 4.96 ERA in 2015 and a career record 14 games below 0.500. SPRO 3 years $31,343,000.

    Ben Zobrist signs 4 year $56,000,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs overpay for Zobrist. We like Ben, but he's been regressing for three straight years. PEVA 16,786, 11.215, 9.879, 8.879 (incl. playoffs). That's not good for a 34 year old. SPRO 3 years $28,718,000.

    Tyler Flowers signs 2 year $5,300,000 contract with Braves, including $1.5m incentives per year and $4m option for 3rd year.

    SPRO Analysis - Atlanta pays market value for Flowers. SPRO 2 years $6,014,000. Asdrubel Cabrera signs 2 year $18,500,000 contract with Mets plus 2018 option.

    SPRO Analysis - New York Mets pay market value for Cabrera. SPRO 3 years $29,034,000.

    Jason Heyward signs 8 year $184,000,000 contract with Cubs.

    SPRO Analysis - Chicago Cubs overpay for Heyward. See below. SPRO 4 years $51,256,000.

    Tony Sipp signs 3 year $18,000,000 contract with Astros.

    SPRO Analysis - Houston overpays for Sipp. SPRO 2 years $8,484,000.

    Jonathan Broxton signs 2 year $7,500,000 contract with Cardinals.

    SPRO Analysis - St. Louis overpays for Broxton. SPRO 1 years $2,539,000.

    Mark Reynolds signs 1 year $2,600,000 contract, plus incentives, with Rockies.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado gets bargain in Reynolds. SPRO 2 years $7,591,000.

    Shawn Kelley signs 3 year $15,500,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington overpays for Kelley. SPRO 1 year $2,488,000.

    Oliver Perez signs 2 year $7,000,000 contract with Nationals.

    SPRO Analysis - Washington overpays for Perez. SPRO 1 year $1,898,000.

    Jason Motte signs 2 year $10,000,000 contract with Rockies.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado overpays for Motte. Since his injury year in 2013, Motte has had a 4.68 ERA in St. Louis, and a 3.91 ERA in Cub land. Nice progression. Now he's heading to Colorado at the age of 34. Good luck. SPRO 1 year $1,155,000.

    Chad Qualls signs 2 year $12,000,000 contract with Rockies.

    SPRO Analysis - Colorado overpays for Qualls. For a guy pitching in his 38 and 39 year old seasons, $6 million dollars a year. Last three years, ERA's of 2.61, 3.33, 4.38. WTG Rockies, looking forward to that above 5.00 in 2016. SPRO 1 year $3,118,000.

    Ryan Madson signs 3 year $22,000,000 contract with A's, including $1.25m per year in incentives.

    SPRO Analysis - Oakland overpays for Madson. And these used to be the sane guys. Madson had a comeback year in 2015 after three years out with injury. He had it at 35 years of age. He'll be pitching this contract at 36-38, when normal decreases in performance occur. So, no track record of health, and age. No thanks at those numbers. SPRO 1 year $3,226,000. Yes, he's worth more than that if healthy, but that's still not proven to us. And yes, we're perfectly willing to pay a setup type guy this type of money. (See Darren O'Day) But we want more track record of both.

    Mark Lowe signs 2 year $11,000,000 contract with Tigers.

    SPRO Analysis - Detroit overpays for Lowe. SPRO 1 year $2,623,000. Lowe had a good year in 2015, his best at age 32, but there's nothing in his past that says he can do it again. Of course, he might, but we'd be wary of that. 9-23 for his career, $5.5m per year. Not a bad time to be a pitcher.

    Joakim Soria signs 3 year $25,000,000 contract with Royals.

    SPRO Analysis - Kansas City overpays for Soria. Yes, Soria has rebounded over the past two seasons to a pitcher worth about $7 million per year, if you discount the years before. We still think they're relevant. SPRO 2 years $10,796,000.

    Chase Utley signs 1 year $7,000,000 contract with Dodgers.

    SPRO Analysis - LA Dodgers pay market value for Utley. Very down year in 2015, but still with value due to first part of 2014 with possibility of a rebound. SPRO $6,880,000.


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Stat Geek Baseball and Salary Projections

The salary projections from Stat Geek Baseball and Baseball Evaluation are the result of over 5,000 hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA player ratings correlate to payroll, and the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how baseball pays its players.

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