Chir
Stat Geek Baseball, the Best Ever Book

Stat Geek Baseball,
the Best Ever Book
Publication Date: 11/10/2012

UPDATED THRU
THE 2013
POSTSEASON

The Best Yankee!
The Best Red Sox!
The Best of Every Team!

Kindle/Computer Edition

Great gift for the baseball
fan in your life.

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Details
 
Baseball Evaluation
and Salary Projections

The salary projections from baseballevaluation.com are the result of over 5,000 hours of research into how baseball statistics and our PEVA player ratings correlate to payroll, and the results in the Salary Projection model are meant to mirror how baseball pays its players.


PEVA Player
Rating BOXSCORE


 32.000 - Fantastic
(MVP/Cy Young Award Canddiate)
20.000 - Great (All League)
15.000 - Very Good (All Star Caliber)
10.000 - Good (Plus Starter)
3.500 - Average Player




Stat Geek Baseball


Hot Stove League 2013-2014

Stat Geek Baseball, Salary Projections 2014
It's that time of year.  The season and World Series are done and your teams area looking for way to make them better and compete for the playoffs next year.  And there are questions aplenty.  What free agents have been offered the new $14.1m qualifying offer that could garner them compensatory draft picks if they leave?  Who is arbitration eligible and are you willing to go to arbitration with that player or cut him free?  What are your favorite players worth anyway?  Below the staff at baseballevaluation.com and Stat Geek Baseball will attempt to keep you up to date with the current transactions, as well as give our opnion, and the Stat Geek Baseball Salary Projection's opinion of what dollars and cents should have been paid to the signed player.  Hope the Hot Stove of your favorite team works out well.  Happy stoving!  Arbitration Checklist 2014

The Hot Stove League
Free Agents, Options, and Player Signings

Find out what's going on in contract negotiations, what they've been paid, what they should have with the Stat Geek Baseball's SPRO Salary Projection system, and more.

Week of January 27

Free Agent Players
Jason Hammel signs 1 year $6,000,000 contract with Cubs, including $1m incentives.
SPRO Analysis -
 Chicago Cubs overpay for Hammel.  SPRO $3,769,000.  Hammel's kinda one of those pitchers who you think he's just gotta be better than this.  But he isn't.  Serviceable as the 5th starter, but really nothing more than that.  This spot should really go to your next prospect; he's bound to do as well.

Player Resigns with Club
Bruce Chen signs 1 year $4,250,000 contract, with mutual option for $5.5m and $1m buyout, with Royals.  Contract also includes $1.25m performance incentives.
SPRO Analysis -
 Kansas City pays market value for Chen.  SPRO $5,410,000.  Okay with 2nd year at $5,599,000.

Arbitration Contracts
Alex Avila signs 1 year $4,150,000 contract, with club option for $5.4m and $200,000, with Tigers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Detroit gets bargain in Avila.  SPRO $5,410,000 for 1 year, $11,867,000 for 2 years.

Week of January 20

Free Agent Players
Grant Balfour signs 2 year $12,000,000 contract with Rays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Tampa Bay gets bargain in Balfour.  Grant lost $3m after the Baltimore deal fell through and he signed for this, but ... he was worth the Baltimore money.  Why do I get the feeling that Tampa Bay will get the better of the closer war with the Orioles.  SPRO 2 yrs. $15,712,000.

Matt Garza signs 4 year $50,000,000 contract, including $1m incentives and vesting option for 5th year, with Brewers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Milwaukee overpays for Garza.  This is a bad deal. We're really talking Kyle Kendrick here and paying him as if he's special, or at least the pitcher he was with the Rays.  But he's not.  Lower IP, bad peripherals are masked by win totals and an okay ERA.  He gives up HR, Hits, and has a bad SO/W Ratio.  All worse than league average.  I guess if you're worse than league average you get a four year deal worth this.  His 3 year rolling PEVA averages have decreased for 3 straight years.  Don't be surprised if this doesn't work out for Milwaukee.  SPRO 2 yrs. $13,350,000.

Grady Sizemore
signs 1 year $750,000 contract, plus $5.25m incentives, with Red Sox.
SPRO Analysis -
 Boston pays market value for Sizemore.  Well, kinda. We like Sizemore and are rooting for him to succeed, but he's really the type of player, after two seasons off, that may not require that incentive package.  I guess other teams were structuring their contract offers like that as well, but ..., oh, well, just but.  SPRO $850,000.

Eric O'Flaherty signs 2 year $7,000,000 contract with A's.
SPRO Analysis -
 Oakland pays market value for O'Flaherty.  We're surprised at the second year and likely would not have done that.  Of course, in a way, it might be insurance against a late start.  SPRO $2,934,000 in 2014.

Week of January 13

Free Agent Players
John Buck signs 1 year $1m contract with Mariners.
SPRO Analysis -
 Seattle gets bargain in Buck.  Viewed now as a backup after two years of Mendoza line limbo, Buck is a durable catcher who can provide full time work if needed, and give you a little pop.  SPRO $4,469,000 based on past use, which Seattle hopes it does not have to do.

Arbitration Contracts
Max Scherzer signs 1 year $15,525,000 contract with Tigers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Detroit pays market value for Scherzer.  Bit of a bargain, but right in the mix.  SPRO  $16,491,000.

Tony Abreu signs 1 year $745,000 contract with Giants.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Francisco pays market value for Abreu.  SPRO $614,000.

Peter Bourjos signs 1 year $1,200,000 contract with Cardinals.
SPRO Analysis -
 St. Louis pays market value for Bourjos.  SPRO $1,315,000.

Brett Cecil signs 1 year $1,300,000 contract with Blue Jays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Toronto pays market value for Cecil.  SPRO $1,619,000.

Matt Joyce signs 1 year $3,700,000 contract with Rays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Tampa Bay gets bargain in Joyce.  Rays sign a lot of these contracts.  Guess working in Florida has its perks.  SPRO $6,061,000.

Tommy Hunter signs 1 year $3,000,000 contract with Orioles.
SPRO Analysis -
 Baltimore overpays for Hunter.  It won't be an overpay if his use increases to closer, but is a bit of a reach upfront.  SPRO $2,268,000.

John Jay signs 1 year $3,250,000 contract with Cardinals.
SPRO Analysis -
 St. Louis get bargain in Jay.  Cards are another club that seems to get a lot of bang for their buck.  SPRO $6,418,000.

Austin Jackson signs 1 year $6,000,000 contract with Tigers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Detroit gets bargain in Jackson.  SPRO $7,045,000.

Luke Hochever signs 1 year $5,210,000 contract with Royals.
SPRO Analysis -
Kansas City gets bargain in Hochever.  SPRO $6,859,000.

Sam Lecure signs 2 year $3,050,000 contract with Reds.
SPRO Analysis -
 Cincinnati pays market value for Lecure.  SPRO 2 years $3,491,000.

Ian Desmond signs 2 year $17,500,000 contract, plus $500,000 incentives, with Nationals.
SPRO Analysis -
 Washington overpays for Desmond.  Slight really, but a bit high.  SPRO 2 years $15,450,000.

Jed Lowrie signs 1 year $5,250,000 contract with A's.
SPRO Analysis -
 Oakland pays market value for Lowrie.  SPRO $5,401,000.

Luke Gregerson signs 1 year $5,065,000 contract with A's.
SPRO Analysis -
 Oakland pays market value for Gregerson.  SPRO $4,594,000.

Steve Cichek signs 1 year $3,800,000 contract with Marlins.
SPRO Analysis -
 Miami pays market value for Cichek.  SPRO $3,515,000.

Chris Johnson signs 1 year $4,750,000 contract with Braves.
SPRO Analysis -
 Atlanta pays market value for Johnson.  SPRO $4,134,000.

Chris Davis signs 1 year $10,350,000 contract with Orioles.
SPRO Analysis -
 Baltimore pays market value for Davis.  Right on the money after his breakout year last year.  SPRO $10,342,000.

Mike Leake signs 1 year $5,925,000 contract with Reds.
SPRO Analysis -
 Cincinnati pays market value for Leake.  SPRO $5,360,000.

Brett Gardner signs 1 year $5,600,000 contract with Yankees.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Yankees pay market value for Gardner.  SPRO $5,360,000.

Chase Headley signs 1 year $10,525,000 contract with Padres.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Diego gets bargain in Headley.  There seems to be a consensus that his season in 2012 was not what he truly is, and that 2013 was more in line with his talent.  2014 will tell the tale in many ways.  Padres probably did good in discounting 2012, although other players would have been credited for that season at a higher level.  SPRO $15,557,000.

Ernesti Frieri signs 1 year $3,800,000 contract with Angels.
SPRO Analysis -
 Los Angeles of Anaheim overpays for Frieri.  Lots of talent; didn't really step up when he had the chance last year, at least not to this level.  SPRO $2,586,000.

Al Alburquerque signs 1 year $837,500 contract with Tigers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Detroit pays market value for Alburquerque. SPRO $850,000.

Emilio Bonafacio signs 1 year $3,500,000 contract with Royals.
SPRO Analysis -
 Kansas City overpays for Bonifacio.  SPRO $2,782,000.

Jason Castro signs 1 year $2,450,000 contract with Astros.
SPRO Analysis -
 Houston pays market value for Castro.  SPRO $2,587,000.

Craig Gentry signs 1 year $1,145,000 contract with A's.
SPRO Analysis -
 Oakland pays market value for Gentry.  SPRO  $1,147,000.

Alejandro De Aza signs 1 year $4,250,000 contract with White Sox.
SPRO Analysis -
 Chicago White Sox get bargain in De Aza.  SPRO  $6,205,000.

Jose Lobatan signs 1 year $900,000 contract with Rays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Tampa Bay pays market value for Lobatan.  SPRO  $1,045,000.

Gordon Beckham signs 1 year $4,175,000 contract with White Sox.
SPRO Analysis -
 Chicago White Sox overpay for Beckham.  SPRO  $3,165,000.

Marco Estrada signs 1 year $3,325,000 contract, plus $100,000 incentives, with Brewers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Milwaukee overpays for Estrada. SPRO $2,431,000.

Juan Francisco signs 1 year $1,350,000 contract with Brewers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Milwaukee overpays for Francisco.  SPRO  $809,000.

Mike Dunn signs 1 year $1,400,000 contract with Marlins.
SPRO Analysis -
 Miami pays market value for Dunn.  SPRO $1,150,000.

Pedro Alvarez signs 1 year $4,250,000 contract with Pirates.
SPRO Analysis -
 Pittsburgh pays market value for Alvarez.  SPRO  $4,282,000.

Jonathan Herrera signs 1 year $1,300,000 contract with Red Sox.
SPRO Analysis -
 Boston overpays for Herrera.  SPRO  $827,000.

Brian Duensing signs 1 year $2,000,000 contract with Twins.
SPRO Analysis -
 Minnesota overpays for Duensing.  SPRO  $1,318,000.

Neftali Feliz signs 1 year $3,000,000 contract, plus $25,000 incentives, with Rangers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Texas overpays for Feliz.  Downhill for three years due to injury and performance.  Have to prove one good year before getting to this level for us.  SPRO $1,566,000.

Eric Hosmer signs 1 year $3,600,000 contract with Royals.
SPRO Analysis -
 Kansas City pays market value for Hosmer.  Up and coming and improving year to year.  SPRO  $3,770,000.

Mike Carp signs 1 year $1,400,000 contract with Red Sox.
SPRO Analysis -
 Boston pays market value for Carp.  SPRO  $1,097,000.

Andy Dirks signs 1 year $1,625,000 contract with Tigers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Detroit pays market value for Dirks.  SPRO  $1,844,000.

Shawn Kelley signs 1 year $1,765,000 contract with Yankees.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Yankees overpay for Kelley.  SPRO  $975,000.

Kyle Blanks signs 1 year $988,000 contract with Padres.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Diego pays  market value for Blanks.  SPRO  $831,000.

Gregor Blanco signs 1 year $2,525,000 contract with Giants.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Francisco gets bargain in Blanco.  SPRO  $3,599,000.

Giancarlo Stanton signs 1 year $5,500,000 contract with Marlins.
SPRO Analysis -
 Miami pays market value for Stanton.  SPRO  $5,084,000.

Daniel Murphy signs 1 year $5,700,000 contract with Mets.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Mets pay market value for Murphy.  SPRO  $4,914,000.

Mike Minor signs 1 year $3,850,000 contract with Braves.
SPRO Analysis -
 Atlanta gets bargain in Minor.  SPRO  $4,775,000.

Joe Thatcher signs 1 year $2,375,000 contract with Diamondbacks.
SPRO Analysis -
 Arizona overpays for Thatcher.  SPRO  $1,114,000.

Fernando Salas signs 1 year $870,000 contract with Angels.
SPRO Analysis -
 Los Angeles of Anaheim gets bargain in Salas.  Bit of a reach back to say this, but at one time, he'd have been worth a whole lot more at this point, and it wasn't too long ago.  Plus, he's still young.  SPRO  $1,383,000.

Ivan Nova signs 1 year $3,300,000 contract with Yankees.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Yankees overpay for Nova.  Hey, it's just what they do, with that Manhattan cost of living.  SPRO $2,547,000.

Vin Mazzaro signs 1 year $950,000 contract with Pirates.
SPRO Analysis -
 Pittsburgh pays market value for Mazzaro.  SPRO  $1,095,000.

Sean Rodriguez signs 1 year $1,475,000 contract, plus $25,000 incentives with Rays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Tampa Bay pays market value for Rodriguez. SPRO  $1,887,000.

Brian Matusz signs 1 year $2,400,000 contract with Orioles.
SPRO Analysis -
 Baltimore overpays for Matusz.  SPRO  $1,143,000.

Marc Rzepczynski signs 1 year $1,375,000 contract, plus $50,000 incentives, with Indians.
SPRO Analysis -
 Cleveland pays market value for Rzepczynski.  SPRO  $1,118,000.

Yusmeiro Petit signs 1 year $845,000 contract with Giants.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Francisco pays market value for Petit.  SPRO  $618,000.

Cesar Ramos signs 1 year $750,000 contract with Rays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Tampa Bay pays market value for Ramos.  SPRO  $795,000.

Wilson Ramos signs 1 year $2,095,000 contract, plus $105,000 incentives, with Nationals.
SPRO Analysis -
 Washington pays market value for Ramos. SPRO  $1,670,000.

Alexi Ogando signs 1 year $2,625,000 contract with Rangers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Texas pays market value for Ramos.  SPRO  $2,553,000.

Mark Melancon signs 1 year $2,595,000 contract with Pirates.
SPRO Analysis -
 Pittsburgh gets bargain in Melancon.  SPRO $3,431,000.

Brandon Moss signs 1 year $4,100,000 contract with A's.
SPRO Analysis -
 Oakland pays market value for Ramos.  SPRO  $4,016,000.

Anthony Swarzak signs 1 year $935,000, plus $25,000 incentives, contract with Twins.
SPRO Analysis -
 Minnesota pays market value for Swarzak.  SPRO  $1,088,000.

Jake McGee signs 1 year $1,450,000 contract with Rays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Tampa Bay pays market value for McGee.  SPRO  $1,782,000.

Bobby Parnell signs 1 year $3,700,000 contract with Mets.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Mets get bargain in Parnell.  SPRO  $4,818,000.

Jordan Schafer signs 1 year $1,090,000 contract with Braves.
SPRO Analysis -
 Atlanta pays market value for Schafer.  SPRO  $906,000.

Junichi Tazawa signs 1 year $1,275,000 contract with Red Sox.
SPRO Analysis -
 Boston gets bargain in Tazawa.  SPRO  $1,861,000.

Drew Stubbs signs 1 year $4,100,000 contract with Indians.
SPRO Analysis -
 Cleveland pays market value for Stubbs.  A little high, but okay.  SPRO $3,540,000.

Nate Schierholtz signs 1 year $5,000,000 contract with Cubs.
SPRO Analysis -
 Chicago Cubs pay market value for Schierholtz.  SPRO  $4,394,000.

Kris Medlen signs 1 year $5,800,000 contract with Braves.
SPRO Analysis -
 Atlanta gets bargain in Medlen.  SPRO  $7,046,000.

Neil Walker signs 1 year $5,750,000 contract with Pirates.
SPRO Analysis -
 Pittsburgh pays market value for Walker.  SPRO  $5,105,000.

David Robertson signs 1 year $5,215,000 contract with Yankees.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Yankees pay market value for Robertson.  SPRO  $5,010,000.

Colby Rasmus signs 1 year $7,000,000 contract with Blue Jays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Toronto pays market value for Rasmus.  SPRO  $6,548,000.

Jordan Zimmermann signs 2 year $24,000,000 contract with Nationals.
SPRO Analysis -
 Washington gets bargain in Zimmermann.  SPRO  for two years $29,993,000, and he's worth giving more than two years.

Gaby Sanchez signs 1 year $2,300,000 contract with Pirates.
SPRO Analysis -
 Pittsburgh pays market value for Sanchez.  SPRO  $2,860,000.

Esmil Rogers signs 1 year $1,850,000 contract with Blue Jays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Toronto overpays for Rogers.  SPRO  $1,047,000.

Drew Storen signs 1 year $3,450,000 contract with Nationals, including incentives of $1m.
SPRO Analysis -
 Washington overpays for Storen.  Downhill for last several years, but they're paying for the potential he showed back then. SPRO  $2,790,000.

Juan Nicasio signs 1 year $2,025,000 contract with Rockies.
SPRO Analysis -
 Colorado overpays for Nicasio.  SPRO  $1,470,000.

Alfredo Simon signs 1 year $1,500,000 contract with Reds.
SPRO Analysis -
 Cincinnati gets bargain in Simon.  SPRO  $2,361,000.

Troy Patton signs 1 year $1,275,000 contract with Orioles.
SPRO Analysis -
 Baltimore gets bargain in Patton.  SPRO  $1,824,000.

Trevor Plouffe
signs 1 year $2,350,000 contract with Twins.
SPRO Analysis -
 Minnesota pays market value for Plouffe.  SPRO  $2,049,000.

John Mayberry, Jr. signs 1 year $1,575,000 contract with Phillies.
SPRO Analysis -
 Philadelphia pays market value for Mayberry.  SPRO  $1,888,000.  Fans don't think he's worth it, but there's something to be said for durability and versatility, even if the overall package lacks some things at times.

Luis Valbuena signs 1 year $1,710,000 contract with Cubs.
SPRO Analysis -
 Chicago Cubs pay market value for Valbuena.  SPRO  $1,418,000.

Jim Johnson signs 1 year $10,000,000 contract with A's.
SPRO Analysis -
 Oakland pays market value for Johnson.  SPRO  $10,775,000.

John Jaso signs 1 year $2,300,000 contract with A's, plus $50,000 incentives.
SPRO Analysis -
 Oakland gets bargain in Jaso.  SPRO  $3,437,000.


Kyle Kendrick signs 1 year $7,675,000 contract with Phillies.
SPRO Analysis -
 Philadelphia overpays for Kendrick.  Kendrick is the definition of an okay, but average pitcher who shows signs of very good, then bad, to bring him to average.  He does give innings and that's where his value is, but it's just not this high based on the last several years.  Hey, but it's the Phils style to overpay.  SPRO  $5,381,000.

Everth Cabrera signs 1 year $2,450,000 contract with Padres.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Diego pays market value for Cabrera.  SPRO  $2,426,000.

Tyson Ross signs 1 year $1,980,000 contract with Padres.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Diego overpays for Ross.  SPRO  $919,000.

Ian Kennedy signs 1 year $6,100,000 contract with Padres.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Diego gets bargain in Kennedy.  Reaching back a couple years for the great season, but Kennedy has the ability, particularly in that park to rebound to something very good.  SPRO  $9,425,000.

Ross Detwiler signs 1 year $3,000,000 contract with Nationals, plus $50,000 incentives.
SPRO Analysis -
 Washington overpays for Detwiler.  SPRO  $2,093,000.

Eric Young, Jr. signs 1 year $1,850,000 contract with Mets.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Mets pay market value for Young.  SPRO  $2,117,000.

Travis Snider signs 1 year $1,200,000 contract with Pirates.
SPRO Analysis -
 Pittsburgh overpays for Snider.  SPRO  $790,000.

Tim Collins signs 1 year $1,362,500 contract with Royals.
SPRO Analysis -
 Kansas City overpays for Collins.  Very slightly.  SPRO  $1,071,000.

Francisco Cervelli signs 1 year $700,000 contract with Yankees.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Yankees pay market value for Cervelli.  SPRO  $622,000.

Chris Heisey signs 1 year $1,760,000 contract with Reds.
SPRO Analysis -
 Cincinnati overpays for Heisey.  Again, a slight quibble and likely within the margin of increase in MLB salaries this year.  SPRO $1,327,000.

Wilton Lopez signs 1 year $2,200,000 contract with Rockies.
SPRO Analysis -
 Colorado gets bargain in Lopez.  Bargain based on a very good year two years ago, which they're discounting after last season in the rare air.  SPRO $3,421,000.

Ike Davis signs 1 year $3,500,000 contract with Mets.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Mets pay market value for Davis.  If he's actually on the market, this deal won't scare too many suitors away.  SPRO  $3,192,000.

Bud Norris signs 1 year $5,300,000 contract with Orioles.
SPRO Analysis -
 Baltimore overpays for Norris.  SPRO  $3,529,000.

David Price signs 1 year $14,000,000 contract with Rays.
SPRO Analysis -
 Tampa Bay pays market value for Price.  SPRO  $14,030,000.

Josh Collmenter signs 2 year $2,425,000 contract with Diamondbacks with 2 options years.
SPRO Analysis -
 Arizona gets bargain in Collmenter.  SPRO says $1,761,000 for one year, but Arizona has basically locked him up, with options for 4 years at $6,500,000 if they want.

Josh Outman signs 1 year $1,250,000 contract with Indians.
SPRO Analysis -
 Cleveland overpays for Outman.  SPRO $850,000.

Burke Badenhop signs 1 year $2,150,000 contract with Red Sox.
SPRO Analysis -
 Boston pays market value for Badenhop.  SPRO $1,945,000.

Ruben Tejada signs 1 year $1,100,000 contract with Mets.
SPRO Analysis -
 New York Mets pay market value for Tejada.  SPRO $923,000.

Neal Cotts signs 1 year $2,200,000 contract with Rangers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Texas gets bargain in Cotts.  Really only a bargain because he should be paid for his very good year last year after three years of not pitching.  SPRO $3,784,000.

Franklin Morales signs 1 year $1,725,000 contract with Rangers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Texas overpays for Morales.  SPRO $956,000.

Clayton Kershaw signs 7 year $215,000,000 contract with Dodgers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Los Angeles Dodgers overpay for Kershaw.  Right off, let's acknowledge, which everyone agrees, that Kershaw is a special pitcher and deserves lots of dough.  The argument is always, how much, and $30m per in a contract has never proved worthwhile to any club who has payed a player near that much.  So, SPRO is still high, but lower than that, 8 years $202,450,000, which is $25,306,250 per year, for one year of arbitration eligible and seven years of free agency.

Michael Saunders signs 1 year $2,300,000 contract with Mariners.
SPRO Analysis -
 Seattle gets bargain in Saunders.  Numbers a bit down last year, but Saunders was still productive in a pitcher's park.  SPRO $3,564,000.

Seth Smith signs 1 year $4,500,000 contract with Padres.
SPRO Analysis -
 San Diego pays market value for Smith.  SPRO $4,040,000.

Dayan Viciedo signs 1 year $2,800,000 contract with White Sox.
SPRO Analysis -
 Chicago White Sox overpay for Viciedo.  Likely to rebound after a year that was worse than the year before, Chicago paid him as if he'd been equal to that former year.  SPRO $1,980,000.

Week of January 6
Free Agent Players

Arbitration Contracts
Stephen Strasburg signs 1 year $3,975,000 contract with Senators.
SPRO Analysis -
 Washington gets bargain for Strasburg.  Senators avoid arbitration with contract slightly below the SPRO $4,582,000.  We're surprised Strasburg doesn't want to go longer term at this point.

Brett Hayes signs 1 year $630,000 contract with Royals, including $20,000 in incentives.
SPRO Analysis -
 Kansas City pays market value for Hayes.  Slight overpay for a guy with 18 plate appearances last year and might really be a AAAA player.  SPRO $514,000.

Jesse Chavez signs 1 year $775,000 contract with A's.
SPRO Analysis -
 Oakland pays market value for Chavez.  A's avoid arbitration with fair contract.  SPRO $776,000.

Pre-Arbitration Contracts
Jose Iglesias signs 1 year $1,650,000 contract with Tigers.
SPRO Analysis -
 Detroit overpays for Iglesias.  He's a nice young shortstop with a good glove and last year a good batting average.  But, this is nuts.  We know he's coming off a hefty bonus baby Scott Boras contract paying him over $2m per year prior to performance.  We know he's very good at some things, ... fielding.  But, it's too early to annoit and pay him as if he's Ozzie Smith.  SPRO $535,000.  This is a guy who only walked 15 times in 382 plate appearances, scored only 39 runs while playing in two great offenses, and knocked in 29.  Interpolate that to 600 PA, that's 24 walks, 61 runs scored, and 46 RBI.  Paying a guy like this at 1.036 Major League Service Time is like saying he's a $20m per year player when a free agent.  This is nuts.

Teepossible.com @ Zazzle



FREE AGENT CHANGES

There are no longer Type A, B, and C free agents to figure out who gives up what when signed a free agent.  Only those that have been offered the Qualifying Offer of $14.1m or not.  For those players signed by another club, the signing club will lose a pick from #11 to their second round pick.  The former club  gets a compensatory pick afer the first round in reverse order of the MLB standings.


Qualifying Offers Extended

Qualifying Offers of $14.1m for a one year contracts have been extended to 13 free agents.  If rejected and signed by another team, their former teams will receive an end of the first round draft pick with the signing team losing either a first or second round pick.  This year's players given the Qualifying Offers are: Carlos Beltran (SLN), Robinson Cano (NYA), Hiroki Kuroda (NYA), Curtis Granderson (NYA), Shin-Shoo Choo (CIN), Nelson Cruz (TEX), Stephen Drew (BOS), Jacoby Ellsbury (BOS), Mike Napoli (BOS), Ervin Santana (KCA), Brian McCann (ATL), Kendrys Morales (SEA), and Ubaldo Jimenez (CLE).
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Note: PEVA - Player Rating for Season or Career.  Age - Age reflects player age at the end of the calendar year.

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